UK Election: Projections

Our UK projection appears in a pdf here.

In Northern Ireland, we project:

Antrim, East – DUP hold (Wilson by 20 points)
Antrim, North – DUP hold (Paisley by 25 points)
Antrim, South – DUP hold (McCrea by 10 points)
Belfast East – DUP gain from AP (Robinson by 10 points)
Belfast North – DUP hold (Dodds by 10 points)
Belfast South – SDLP hold (McDonnell, possible recount)
Belfast West – SF hold (Maskey by 40 points)
Down, North – Ind hold (Hermon by 15 points)
Down, South – SDLP hold (Ritchie by 15 points)
Fermanagh & South Tyrone – SF hold (Gildernew, possible recount)
Foyle – SDLP hold (Durkan by 10 points)
Lagan Valley – DUP hold (Donaldson by 30 points)
Londonderry, East – DUP hold (Campbell by 15 points)
Newry & Armagh – SF hold (Brady by 10 points)
Strangford – DUP hold (Shannon by 20 points)
Tyrone, West – SF hold (Doherty by 25 points)
Ulster, Mid – SF hold (Molloy by 25 points)
Upper Bann – DUP hold (Simpson by 5 points)

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